The price of batteries is a significant predictor of whether electric vehicles will gain mass market acceptance in the near future. …Read More
Analysis Shows Continued Industry-Wide Decline in Electric Vehicle Battery Costs
forecasting
Better Sales Forecasting: Why the Crowd Outperforms the “Expert with the Eye”
The ability to predict consumer preferences for new fashions by clothing manufacturer executives seems rather low. This is confirmed by secondary data on inventory markdowns and our pilot interviews with major manufacturers. …Read More
Building a More Intelligent Enterprise
Businesses must develop a sustainable competitive edge in order to succeed in the long run. One way to achieve this is by leveraging technology-enabled insights with a sophisticated understanding of decision making, judgment, and reasoning to make smarter decisions in the face of uncertainty.…Read More
How to Gain a Predictive Edge in 2017
Though uncertainty is a fixture in our fast-changing world, organizations can strengthen their forecasting capability and manage for an unpredictable future.…Read More
Expanded Forecasting Challenge Adds Autonomous Vehicles
How soon will autonomous vehicles transform how humans get around? Join our newly expanded Forecasting Challenge to help us predict the future of mobility.…Read More
Superforecasting: How to Upgrade Your Company’s Judgment
Imagine that you could dramatically improve your firm’s forecasting ability, but to do so you’d have to expose just how unreliable its predictions — and the people making them — really are. That’s exactly what the U.S. intelligence community did, with dramatic results.…Read More
Help Wharton Forecast the Future of Electric Vehicles
Are we on the cusp of an electric vehicle “tipping point”? Join the Electric Vehicle Forecasting Challenge to help us find out.…Read More
Balancing on the Creative High-Wire: Forecasting the Success of Novel Ideas in Organizations
Betting on the most promising new ideas is key to creativity and innovation in organizations, but predicting the success of novel ideas can be difficult. To select the best ideas, creators and managers must excel at “creative forecasting”—i.e., predicting the outcomes of new ideas.…Read More
Can We Predict Predictability?
Wendy Ham’s research asks whether there’s a better way to make predictions. By examining event characteristics and forecasting methods, she argues that it’s possible to create a cheat sheet that tells us which forecasting approach is the best for a given problem.…Read More